Vanilla investors are selling. Which means we income-focused contrarians are buying.
Our goal, after all, is to retire on dividends. So why would we run from the biggest dividends that Mr. and Ms. Market have presented us in years?
Yields, yields, yields. We recently discussed 29 income funds yielding more than 8%.
How about stocks? Glad you asked. Let’s chat about 16 sweet large-cap cash-machine stocks paying up to 15%.
If you didn’t catch it, I recently chatted with Moe Ansari on his Market Wrap program. You can read more about it here, but in short, I said the time to sell was over—we’re flush with cash and ready to buy.
But we’re not buying just anything. We’re purchasing with purpose: To fund a retirement plan paid solely with cash dividends and interest income.
You can’t do that with meager yields. Yes, Treasuries are finally making things interesting now that the 10-year dishes 4%. But we still need more—much more.
We generally want stocks yielding at least 7%. This lets us reap a $70,000 annual “salary” from a million-dollar nest egg, and a still substantial sum even if you have a smaller amount to invest with.
We have plenty of candidates right now—396 to be specific!
Is it better to focus on bigger stocks? Let’s get to those 16 large-cap stocks yielding between 7.1% and 14.9%. First, a quick look at the full list, then I’m going to highlight a few names that stick out for one reason or another. Some of them are intriguing. Others, however, are potential dividend dogs (read: avoid).
The most obvious and noteworthy cluster of stocks on here are energy stocks, which account for 11 of the 16 names on the list.
Some of these are traditional E&P players such as Devon Energy
Just note that while no yield is locked in stone, some of these payouts warrant a closer eye than others. Chesapeake Energy
That’s prudent cash management for firms that have watched oil prices swing wildly over the past few years. But we should be equally as prudent when it comes to relying on these kinds of payouts for retirement.
The bigger chunk of energy names are master limited partnerships (MLPs) such as Enterprise Products Partners LP
Icahn Enterprises LP
Speaking of MLPs, the highest yielder of the group is Icahn Enterprises LP (IEP, 14.9% yield), which is the holding company for legendary investor Carl Icahn.
If you do choose to own IEP, try to ignore the price returns in your brokerage account—they’re historically terrible. This is a pure yield play, with the distribution accounting for 85% of performance over the past decade.
VF Corp (VFC, 7.2% yield) is the name behind apparel brands including Vans, North Face, Timberland and Supreme. And business in 2022 has been difficult, to put it mildly. In late September, the company provided an optimistic five-year outlook but lowered their 2023 guidance. Vans, their largest brand, is facing numerous challenges, and the company doesn’t have much in the way of resources to ignite growth given high debt and. Still, the stock price hasn’t been this low since 2011, shares trade for a thin 10 times next year’s earnings, and the yield hasn’t been this high since the 1990s. This could be an enticing (albeit risky) income-and-eventual-growth play for investors playing the really long game.
Also struggling this year has been Verizon Communications (VZ, 7.4% yield), which at 30% declines in 2022 has not fulfilled its traditionally defensive role. An earnings miss and guidance reduction are partly to blame, as is the utter lack of a growth catalyst. Verizon did raise prices on consumers this year, but that was mostly to offset what CEO Hans Vestberg says will be the company’s “peak year” in infrastructure investment, estimating $22 billion in capex. But that 7.4% dividend is quite sturdy, at just 56% of profits, and VZ’s forward-looking price-to-earnings ratio has sunk to below 7.
Marlboro parent Altria Group’s (MO, 8.5% yield) made a massive $12.8 billion investment in e-cigarette maker Juul—a move that was largely expected to launch the dependable high-yielding dividend payer into growth mode.
Not so much.
MO shares have been listless over the past few years as its Juul investment has gone up in smoke. U.S. regulators have gone after e-cigarettes, and the FDA this summer briefly banned Juul specifically before issuing a stay on its own order while it continues to review the product.
As a result of all this chaos, Altria has repeatedly written down the value of its Juul stake, which sat at $450 million as of late July.
Still, my colleague Jeff Reeves points out that this “antifragile stock” remains a well-managed income investment that could be a contrarian value play in disguise. It has certainly been a source of defense in 2022, up a couple percent on a total-return basis versus roughly 20% declines for the broader market.
Brett Owens is chief investment strategist for Contrarian Outlook. For more great income ideas, get your free copy his latest special report: Your Early Retirement Portfolio: Huge Dividends—Every Month—Forever.